Big Tournament Predicted Final Scores Based on Start Rating

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keithstuart
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Big Tournament Predicted Final Scores Based on Start Rating

Post by keithstuart » Sun Mar 21, 2004 12:14 pm

Hi

Here are the predicted final scores for the big tournament jjones organised going on start ratings

Thanks to Tellymetwise for sorting it out for me

Basically it is start rating % chance of winning tournament ie mine is 0,51 meaning i have a 51% chance of winning followed by expected final score ie i am supposed to score 28.82 points which would be rounded to 29

Code: Select all

name			     rating chance points
--------------------------------------
tellymetwise	   2900	0,83	46,67
cleenders	      2880	0,82	46,07
angelofthenight	2796	0,75	42,26
vsahs		       2745	0,72	40,28
drako		       2680	0,66	36,81
vairisk		     2658	0,64	36,06
keithstuart	    2501	0,51	28,82
vramnik		     2489	0,50	28,00
sauron		      2401	0,43	24,04
supertimchan	   2324	0,38	21,24
ghorn		       2132	0,26	14,60
jjones		      2106	0,25	14,22
anlashok	       1916	0,16	 9,07
sharyssb	       1500	0,07	 3,73
bsmahn		      1000	0,00	 0,11
tellymetwise: edited table list to show columns properly aligned.

jjones
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Post by jjones » Sun Mar 21, 2004 12:50 pm

Hi Keith

My thanks to you and Telly for that information, I find it quite interesting and can;t wait to compare some the the formulas to what we actualy did score!
It has been a hella tournament, many games and some real good ones at that!!
I will try and get a final summarization done as soon as a few more games are over...

Thanks again!!

Jeff aka "Zapper"

tellymetwise
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Post by tellymetwise » Sun Mar 21, 2004 2:55 pm

Keith,

If you use the "code" and "/code" (alt + c) any font you will use in between will be monospaced and any spacing will be kept as is.

keithstuart
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Posts: 266
Joined: Mon Apr 12, 1999 3:52 am
Location: NW England
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Post by keithstuart » Sun Mar 21, 2004 4:32 pm

i thought the code function only worked with premade tables note just a list

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